Category Archives: Papers

Here are my latest academic papers on foresight as a practice and emerging profession.

Toward a Foresight Competency Model

From 2014 to 2016, I was part of a global team of 23 foresight professionals who worked on a “Foresight Competency Model,” that mapped the underlying competencies of futurists. See link to 2017: Hines, A., Gary, J., Daheim, C., & van der Lann, L. (2017, September). Building Foresight Capacity: Toward a Foresight Competency Model. World Futures Review, 9(3), 123-141.

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Foresight Professionals 2030: A Delphi

After 2 years, and 3 rounds of peer review, my landmark global Delphi for 2030 has been published. See the URL link to: Gary, J. E., & von der Gracht, H. A. (2015, August). The future of foresight professionals: Results from a global  Delphi study. Futures, 71, 132-145.

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Outlook for 2020: A Delphi

Abstract: In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.”

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Toward a New Macrohistory

This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar’s concept as a macrohistory, Holling’s adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.

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What is Your Foresight Style?

Psychologists have told us that humans are distinct in their ability to think forward. To what degree is foresight an innate human function of our brain power, or thinking preferences?  Continue reading

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Strategic leadership competencies

How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges? Continue reading

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The Future According to Jesus

How did Jesus approach his future? How did the changes of his day impact his horizon? What can we learn from his context that will help us create a more sustainable future? Continue reading

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The Regent Foresight program

In 2006 Regent University launched a Master of Arts in Strategic Foresight, and in 2007 added a foresight major to its Doctor of Strategic Leadership. In doing so, Regent joined a small group of academic programs worldwide that offer graduate professional degrees based on futures studies. In 2014 wrapped up a decade of service in these programs.  Continue reading

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Why Futures Studies Needs a Theory Base

This paper explores how a PhD in Futures Studies, if refocused on theory-building could create anticipatory theories across the social sciences, and buttress the work of a new generation of futurists. Continue reading

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Identity Theft or Open Systems? What Would Jesus Lead?

Here is why we need an open systems view of Jesus’ leadership related to public policy, less we engage in identity theft.
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