Category Archives: Papers

Here are my latest academic papers on foresight as a practice and emerging profession.

Foresight Professionals 2030: A Delphi

After 2 years, and 3 rounds of peer review, my landmark global Delphi for 2030 has been published. See the URL link to: Gary, J. E., & von der Gracht, H. A. (2015, August). The future of foresight professionals: Results from a global Delphi study. Futures, 71, 132-145.

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Outlook for 2020: A Delphi

In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.”

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Toward a new macrohistory

This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar’s concept as a macrohistory, Holling’s adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.

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Strategic leadership competencies

How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges?

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What is Your Foresight Style?

Psychologists have told us that humans are distinct in their ability to think forward. To what degree is foresight an innate human function of our brain power, or thinking preferences?

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The Future According to Jesus

How did Jesus approach his future? How did the changes of his day impact his horizon? What can we learn from his context that will help us create a more sustainable future? Recently Futures journal published a scholarly article I wrote on this subject.

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The Regent Foresight program

This paper reviews the Master of Strategic Foresight and Doctor of Strategic Leadership foresight major launched by Regent University.

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Why Futures Studies Needs a Theory Base

This paper explores how a PhD in Futures Studies, if refocused on theory-building could create anticipatory theories across the social sciences, and buttress the work of a new generation of futurists.

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Identity Theft or Open Systems? What Would Jesus Lead?

Here is why we need an open systems view of Jesus’ leadership related to public policy, rather than engage in identity theft.

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Visionary Leadership in World Futures

As leaders of business, society or religion, we often ponder the challenges facing our planet, but this quest might also be undertaken by exploring the caliber and quality of our own visionary leadership.

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