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# JayGary.com

Helping Leaders Reframe the Future

## Sitemaps

- [XML Sitemap](https://jaygary.com/sitemap.xml): Contains all public & indexable URLs for this website.

## Posts

- [Strengthening the PhD in Futures Research](https://jaygary.com/strengthening-the-phd-in-futures-research/) - I have been collecting Ph.D. dissertations on Futures Studies since 2015. They number over 100 now and stretch back 50 years. I am pleased to say that because of a grant from the Prince Mohammad Bin Fahd Center for Futuristic Studies and the World Futures Studies Federation, I am launching a year-long research project with
- [Join me in ORU's Doctor of Strategic Leadership](https://jaygary.com/oru_doctor_strategic_leadership/) - Join me in ORU's Doctor of Strategic Leadership to advance your career
- [The Regent Foresight Program](https://jaygary.com/regent-foresight/) - This paper reviews the Master of Strategic Foresight and Doctor of Strategic Leadership foresight major launched by Regent University.
- [Professional Futurists Appoint New Chair](https://jaygary.com/professional-futurists-appoint-new-chair/) - Having trained myself to think like a futurist, I was invited in 2002 to the founding meeting of the Association of Professional Futurists.
- [The Temple Time Bomb](https://jaygary.com/temple-bomb/) - While militant Jews and End-Time Christians have been looking for an opportunity to seize the "Temple Mount," a new theory cast doubt that Herod's temple was ever located on the site of the Dome of the Rock. Discover how Jesus' prophecy of Jerusalem's fall led one scholar to make what some consider the greatest archaeological discovery of our times, the true site of Solomon's Temple.
- [Foresight Training: From Design to Evaluation](https://jaygary.com/foresight-training/) - The futures field has witnessed a rise in foresight training for government and business leaders. How should the public judge the quality of foresight training programs? This article presents practical steps that foresight firms can take to upgrade their training impact through continuous improvement, based on the Kirkpatrick Training Evaluation Model.
- [Toward a Foresight Competency Model](https://jaygary.com/foresight-competency-model/) - How competent are you in anticipating and shaping the future? How competent are you in helping teams do the same, as a manager or a consultant? The Foresight Competency Model represents the practices that foresight professionals draw upon and use to create the future for their clients.
- [FuturePod: Hindsight, Foresight and Insight](https://jaygary.com/futurepod-hindsight-foresight-and-insight/) - Recently, I was interviewed by Peter Hayward, host of FuturePod, a new source for practicing futurists, and shared how my work as a practicing futurist came about, and how I became an accidental academic, helping groups using visioning exercises to create the future. Click to Listen.
- [Terror in America: How Should We Respond?](https://jaygary.com/terror911/) - September 11th challenged America to root out the political and cultural factors that feed terrorism. But could our own millennial prophecies have provided Bin Laden's network with further ideology to wage Holy War? On the anniversary of 9/11, has America really drained it's own swamp of it's own swamp of ideology which fed this heinous act?
- [What if we 'Led From The Future'?](https://jaygary.com/led-from-the-future/) - Recently I had the privilege of being on the Dr.Nilda Show to share how I was drawn to the future as I started my career and why foresight is essential to leading business and society. I also shared what futurists talk about when they get together and how we work as professionals. Enjoy this 35
- [The Future According to Jesus](https://jaygary.com/future_jesus/) - How did Jesus approach his future? How did the changes of his day impact his horizon? What can we learn from his context that will help us create a more sustainable future? Recently Futures journal published a scholarly article I wrote on this subject.
- [Toward a New Macrohistory](https://jaygary.com/new-macrohistory/) - This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar's concept as a macrohistory, Holling's adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.
- [Terra Nova: The Religious Quest for Tomorrow](https://jaygary.com/terranova/) - Religious imagination first re-framed our quest toward tomorrow. Can it still move us in the twenty-first century to recreate our worlds?
- [Welcome to JayGary.com](https://jaygary.com/welcome/) - Thank you for visiting JayGary.com. I created this site to help you reframe your future based on my latest papers, workshops, consulting, and features.
- [Foresight Professionals 2030: A Delphi](https://jaygary.com/foresight-profession-2030/) - After 2 years, and 3 rounds of peer review, my landmark global Delphi for 2030 has been published. See the URL link to: Gary, J. E., & von der Gracht, H. A. (2015, August). The future of foresight professionals: Results from a global Delphi study. Futures, 71, 132-145.
- [Foresight Educator's Bootcamp](https://jaygary.com/foresight_bootcamp/) - I will teach a one-day master course at the World Future Society this summer to precede their annual conference. I am calling it the Foresight Educator's BootCamp.
- [In Tribute to Bernice Gary](https://jaygary.com/bernice/) - My mother, Bernice Olivia Berry Gary passed away October 27, 2006 peacefully in her sleep, after a month being ill. She was 88 years old. She was the kindness person I ever met. This is her eulogy, offered at her funeral service by her pastor, Dr. Rod Miller.
- [How to Think Like a Futurist](https://jaygary.com/think-futurist/) - Recently I was asked me to develop a course that anyone could take on "how to think like a futurist." What emerged was a 16-week elective, A&S 392: Contemporary Futurist Thought: From H.G. Wells to Ray Kurzweil.
- [Environmental Scanning: Comparing Quantitative vs. Qualitative Studies](https://jaygary.com/environmental_scanning/) - Environmental scanning or information gathering is often considered the first step of strategy formulation. This essay reviews and critiques two contemporary research studies in this field, one quantitative-the other qualitative, to show that strategic leadership can be understood from both external and internal perspectives.
- [PeakFutures marks its 10th year](https://jaygary.com/reach-your-peak/) - Based on more than a decade of management consulting, in 2003 I formed PeakFutures as a firm to offer foresight training, research and assessments for teams and organizations.
- [Outlook for 2020: A Delphi](https://jaygary.com/e21-outlook2020/) - In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: "Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity."
- [Future Shock or Adaptive Change?](https://jaygary.com/future-shock/) - Forty years ago, America was gripped by Future Shock, so claimed Alvin Toffler. Are we seeing the eclipse of Future Shock as a younger, more adaptable workforce comes into its own? Future Shock was a book released in 1970, but it was also an idea, that the future was coming faster than we could adapt to.
- [Authentic Leadership in College Sports](https://jaygary.com/authentic-leadership-sports/) - Recent concerns about the integrity and transparency of business, politics, and sport leaders is spurring on new research into a framework of authentic leadership.
- [Can Entrepreneurs Save the Planet?](https://jaygary.com/future-commerce/) - In the Fall of 2007, I began teaching the first course in an Entrepreneurial MBA at Regent's School of Business & Leadership. The course was BMBA 601: "The Future of Commerce." Here is why.
- [Diversity, Complexity and Change](https://jaygary.com/complexity/) - In April 2006, I attended an Association of Professional Futurists meeting in Santa Fe. One presentation on the Complexity Science of Social Diversity really fired me up. Here are my thoughts on how your organization can find its sweet spot and create its own peak future in adverse conditions.
- [Managing Change Webinar](https://jaygary.com/managing_change/) - Recently I did a Managing Change webinar as part of a continuing education program at my university.
- [Pathways to Foresight DVD](https://jaygary.com/pathways/) - I served as the producer of this 8-part educational DVD, Pathways to Foresight, by Dr. Richard Slaughter. This is a great training program on social and strategic foresight for any team.
- [The Myth That Was Masada](https://jaygary.com/masada/) - Were the rebels who committed mass suicide at Masada really the heroes that modern Israel has made them out to be? Should this rock fortress of Herod continue to be revered as shrine to freedom? Israel is now reconsidering one of its founding myths as they strive to keep faith at the heart of the covenant.
- [Requiem for the Twentieth Century](https://jaygary.com/grosso/) - Author Michael Grosso looks at the turbulence of the 20th century and how it has brought about the end of old ideas, myths and institutions.
- [Unmasking Religious Terrorism](https://jaygary.com/terrorism/) - Increasingly religion and violence, piety and pandemonium are being mixed in a volatile and deadly cocktail. From the Oklahoma City bombing to the massacre of innocent worshipers at the Mosque in Hebron, true believers are translating their visions of cosmic warfare into acts of terrorism. How then can biblical renewal take the church beyond its war on the world?
- [Anthony William Malesic, 1941-2009](https://jaygary.com/tony-malesic/) - Tony was the coolest brother-in-law ever. I remember him dating my older sister back in 1970 and wearing a shoulder pistol strap under his sports jacket!
- [In Memory of Aurora Aleu](https://jaygary.com/aurora-aleu/) - This eulogy was read by Aurora's pastor during her funeral service on Saturday, April 17, 1999.
- [In Tribute to Laurence Gary](https://jaygary.com/laurence/) - My father passed away November 25, 2007 peacefully in his sleep. He was 90 years old. I learned hard work, persistence, focus, and most of all, love from him. Here is his obituary, that appeared in the Baltimore Sun. He was buried at Loudon Park Cemetery in south east Baltimore, Maryland. Laurence H. Gary, a
- [Dermatology and Family Practice](https://jaygary.com/dermatology/) - Dr. Piatt is board certified in Dermatology and Family Practice, and focuses her practice to Dermatology
- [Polling Editors & Agents](https://jaygary.com/editors-agents/) - What are editors and agents looking for in writers? What cues do they use to judge whether their work is creative? Recently Olgy and I polled editors and agents on how they evaluate writers during pitch meetings. Here are the results of the survey.
- [Talk 2000 Store](https://jaygary.com/t2-store/) - Shop from the Talk 2000 gift list
- [Get Future Savvy about Change](https://jaygary.com/future-savvy/) - Why do some business predictions seem to hit the nail on the head while others miss their mark so badly? What do some companies and analysts have that others don't?
- [In Service of the Future](https://jaygary.com/jaygary_award/) - Dr. Jay Gary, evangelical author and leadership scholar reflects on his experience as a religious futurist, and challenges religious activists to study the future of faith and society, in the context of their own traditions.
- [Free Floating Spirituality will Drop New Roots](https://jaygary.com/spirituality-roots/) - To glimpse the future of religion and spirituality, The Gazette turned to Jay Gary, a Colorado Springs author, consultant and futurist specializing in religion and the new millennium.
- [Slaves of Yesterday or the Free Men of Tomorrow?](https://jaygary.com/yesterday-tomorrow/) - Arabic poet Kahlil Gibran asks whether we are people of yesterday or tomorrow? Are we servants of the people, or servants of ourselves?
- [John Paul II: At the Threshold of the Third Millennium](https://jaygary.com/johnpaul2/) - Of all religious leaders approaching 2000, the pope was clearly the most articulate voice on the subject. He seems to have caught a vision for year 2000 celebrations before anyone else, and claimed the dynamic energized his papacy in a unique way.
- [Leading Through Conflict](https://jaygary.com/leading-conflict/) - Like the iceberg that sank the Titanic, conflict often lies submerged within our organizations. Rather than steer around it, you can use it to keep your organization on the cutting edge.
- [Foresight journal](https://jaygary.com/foresight-journal/) - From 2009 to 2011 I served as the regional editor of Foresight, the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy.
- [The Power of Mu](https://jaygary.com/power-of-mu/) - Expand your vision--past, present and future! Rather than live as a "Me" generation, a "Mu" generation would live with a 200-year notion of the present. Discover how you can be a living letter to make all things new.
- [Mopping Up Mega-Evils](https://jaygary.com/mega-evils/) - Let's not stop with just terrorism. If we can focus on restraining terrorism, Jay Gary asks, what is keeping us from tackling other mega-evils that cause a greater drain on the world's health and wealth?
- [The Healing of the City](https://jaygary.com/healing-city/) - Transforming ministry means embracing both church growth and community health. The church of the 21st century will not just focus on building bigger churches but better communities, claims a Christian futurist.
- [The Star of 2000](https://jaygary.com/starof2000/) - In 1994 I wrote "The Star of 2000" that called the church to celebrate the millennium as Jesus' 2,000th jubilee. Here was a website I used to promote Holy Land 2000.
- [Future-Proof Your Ministry–live with Jay Gary](https://jaygary.com/future-proof-workshop/) - Take five steps to develop a forward view of your life and work.
- [Let's Talk 2000](https://jaygary.com/talk2000-2/) - From 1995 to 1999, I edited the leading turn of the millennium bulletin for civic leaders, academics and consultants called "Let's Talk 2000." Here are the monthly archives.
- [Trace the History of Talk 2000](https://jaygary.com/t2-art/) - Trace the History of Talk 2000 People have been talking about the year 2000 long before the Talk 2000 forum was launched. This essay introduces five key conversation threads about the millennial year, which have kept people talking about 2000 for the past 30 years. Threshold 2000 Trends 2000 Agenda 2000 Renewal 2000 Jubilee 2000 Threshold 2000
- [Interviewing High Hope Leaders](https://jaygary.com/hope_research/) - Why do some people approach the future with a positive emotional state, a sense of challenge, and expect success?
- [Modeling Global Futures](https://jaygary.com/modeling-global-futures/) - If you are looking for key ways to get more bang for a buck in terms of global policy and mission, then you need to take this Modeling Global Futures course.
- [The Mile High Millennium](https://jaygary.com/denver2000/) - A month after the Columbine tragedy in Littleton, Colorado, I was invited to address 300 civic leaders in Denver on how they could mark the millennium. Here is the speech I gave, a good illustration of the kind of work I did with cities from 1998 to 2000 as a millennial consultant.
- [Why Futures Studies Needs a Theory Base](https://jaygary.com/futures-theory/) - This paper explores how a PhD in Futures Studies, if refocused on theory-building could create anticipatory theories across the social sciences, and buttress the work of a new generation of futurists.
- [Identity Theft or Open Systems? What Would Jesus Lead?](https://jaygary.com/wwjd_jesus_leadership/) - Here is why we need an open systems view of Jesus' leadership related to public policy, rather than engage in identity theft.
- [Strategic Foresight: Look to the future to plan today](https://jaygary.com/outcomes_strategic_foresight/) - Strategic foresight is a new name for a core practice that leadership teams use to learn about the shifting forces shaping their ministry landscape 3 to 10 years out. It engages them in critical thinking and 'what if' debates. [...]
- [Crossing the Jabbok](https://jaygary.com/jabbok/) - Have you ever wrestled through the night over an impending encounter? Using the ancient story of Jacob as memory and mystery, this article offers wisdom for modern leaders. Discover how your organization’s transformation might well hinge on your own self-transformation.
- [The Future of Cities](https://jaygary.com/future-cities/) - In July 2002, I did a joint presentation on the "Future of Cities" and their quality of life at the World Futures Society. This presentation was with a sociologist and economist from the Pikes Peak region. Does your community have a sustainable cities program? Check out our power point slides, a 720k Abode Reader file. [ Download Slides ]
- [Flying High to the Future](https://jaygary.com/futurecities/) - Addressing the Year 2020 forum in Colorado Springs at City Hall, Dr. Jay Gary challenged civic leaders to pursue the "flight of the flamingos," rather than settle for an Ostrich, Lame Duck or Icarus scenarios.
- [Making Scholarly Presentations](https://jaygary.com/scholarly-presentations/) - Do you have a serious research interest? Would you like to receive feedback on your ideas and eventual recognition of your work? If so, you should get involved with a scholarly society and work toward making a scholarly presentation. Here are five steps you can take to prepare, present, and publish your work.
- [One Planet or Three Worlds?](https://jaygary.com/oneplanet-three-worlds/) - Will we make it to 22nd century? The West can no longer afford to think in terms of a winners/losers logic when considering the future of the humanity, according to columnist Jay Gary.
- [Springs 2000 Commission](https://jaygary.com/springs2000/) - From 1997-1998, I was the lead developer of the Mayor's Springs 2000 Commission in Colorado Springs. Starting in 1999 the Commission met every 6 weeks through 2000, and called forth nearly 100 different community improvement projects and special events to mark the millennium.
- [Visionary Leadership in World Futures](https://jaygary.com/visionary_leadership/) - As leaders of business, society or religion, we often ponder the challenges facing our planet, but this quest might also be undertaken by exploring the caliber and quality of our own visionary leadership.
- [The New America](https://jaygary.com/the-new-america/) - The spiritual landscape of America is changing. Are we ready to encounter it? A "Creatives" culture has emerged in America as the fasting growing segment. What does this mean for the church? for spirituality? Of the three cultures shaping America, which culture do you identity with?
- [Measuring Foresight in Leadership](https://jaygary.com/measuring-foresight/) - The ability to think forward, to foresee possible outcomes and to act accordingly, is a vital human trait. I just completed a 45-page paper that reviews the literature on foresight to determine what we can learn. Here's the abstract.
- [WAYSEE 2000--Fact File](https://jaygary.com/waysee2000/) - The World Association for Celebrating Year 2000, founded by John Goodman in 1963, is voluntary, independent and worldwide. It has member municipalities in 29 countries, spanning Asia, Australia and New Zealand, Europe, Latin America and the United States. It encourages involvement at all levels; world national, municipal, corporate (e.g. companies, schools), individual. Membership is strictly honorary; it depends on
- [The Millennium: Are You Ready For It?](https://jaygary.com/ohliger/) - John Ohliger, the author of The Millennium Survival Kit, asks, Are we Ready for 2000?
- [Shaping the Great Millennium](https://jaygary.com/toppin/) - Here is an early essay on what the turn of the millennium would bring by by Don Toppin, Canadian composer, educator and philosopher.
- [Resources on the Bimillennial](https://jaygary.com/t2-res/) - Discover millennial groups and authors
- [The Talk 2000 Forum Tutorial](https://jaygary.com/t2-tutor/) - Participation in the Talk 2000 Forum One way to describe the Talk 2000 forum would be as a new millennium "learning community" to use a buzzword by Peter M. Senge. His book, The Fifth Discipline, describes his ideal of organizations working in community to encourage team learning, build shared vision, uncover mental maps, encourage personal mastery and solve
- [The Biggest Party Ever!](https://jaygary.com/savan/) - You're invited to the bash for the new millennium. Its fun, its a little frightening--and its starting now.
- [Introduction to the Year 2000](https://jaygary.com/t2-intro/) - Take the year 2000 tour in this FAQ on celebrating the bimillennial.
- [Postdoomdayism](https://jaygary.com/gollin/) - An appreciation of the environment, culture, and history as global systems is redefining millennialism from a religious fringe obsession to an intriguing new interdisciplinary theme.
- [Agenda 21 Summary](https://jaygary.com/agenda21/) - Agenda 21, was the global plan adopted by the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development on 14 June 1992. Here is the conference statement, press release and evaluation, two years later.
- [Tomorrow's Leadership: A Question of Integrity](https://jaygary.com/integrity/) - Scandals rock some of the highest offices, largest corporations and most sacred institutions. Can we restore integrity to leadership?
- [The Future of Global Leadership](https://jaygary.com/ila2008/) - I attended the International Leadership Association (ILA) conference Nov 12-15th and took part in scholarly panel on 'Spiritual Leadership: Past, Present, and Future.' ILA is a global network for all those who practice, study and teach leadership in both formal and informal contexts.
- [Marien Offers Foresight Book Reviews](https://jaygary.com/marien-offers-foresight-book-reviews/) - Dr. Michael Marien, the long-time editor of Future Survey from 1979 to 2009, and winner of the 2008 Distinguished Service Award from the World Future Society, has launched a new service, called Global Foresight Books.
- [Become an E-Learning Instructor](https://jaygary.com/elearn_instructor/) - Online learning has revolutionized the way colleges now offer education. Yet research shows many instructors are still uncertain about this new medium. If you enjoy mentoring others and using technology to create community, you could become an e-learning instructor.
- [Add Foresight to Your Vision](https://jaygary.com/vision-foresight/) - We hear a lot today about the power of vision. Leadership should not only point the way, but consider the unintended consequences of reaching even good visions.
- [Ten Big Questions for 2100](https://jaygary.com/questions-2100/) - Dr. Michael Marien suggests society should weigh 10 big questions about the 22nd Century and use them to make changes to public policy today.
- [My Life as an Undercover Agent](https://jaygary.com/phd-lessons/) - From 2004 to 2008 I went back to get my PhD in Leadership. Here is my perspective on why I did so and why all of us are undercover agents for the public good!
- [What is Your Foresight Style?](https://jaygary.com/foresight-style/) - Psychologists have told us that humans are distinct in their ability to think forward. To what degree is foresight an innate human function of our brain power, or thinking preferences?
- [Strategic leadership competencies](https://jaygary.com/strategic-leadership-competencies/) - How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges?
- [Leading from the Future](https://jaygary.com/leading/) - What has occupied your executive team’s attention the past three years? Chances are you have been restructuring departments or reengineering core programs for immediate gain, rather than regenerating your strategies or reinventing your organization for the future. It is said that on average, corporate management devotes 90% of their time on the “Inside and Now,”
- [The Year 2000 FAQ](https://jaygary.com/year2000-faq/) - I wrote the Year 2000 FAQ back in 1995 to brief cities, communities and alliances on how the public was planning to mark the arrival of the Millennium.

## Pages

- [Contact Me](https://jaygary.com/contact/)
- [The Star of 2000](https://jaygary.com/starof2000-p/) - In 1994 I wrote "The Star of 2000" that called the church to celebrate the millennium as Jesus' 2,000th jubilee. Here was the website I used to promote Holy Land 2000 in the early days of the Internet! JayGary.com home forum book faq speakers link contact SEARCH this site CATEGORIES Magi Jesus 2000 Links Travel Gift
- [Let's Talk 2000](https://jaygary.com/talk2000p/) - From 1995 to 1999, I edited the leading turn of the millennium bulletin for civic leaders, academics and consultants called "Let's Talk 2000." Here are the monthly archives. The Talk 2000 home page was originally hosted by Humber College in Toronto and reproduced below. At the same time, the University of South California hosted a
- [Shop](https://jaygary.com/shop/)
- [Logout](https://jaygary.com/my-account/logout/)

## Categories

- [Papers](https://jaygary.com/category/papers/) - Here are my latest academic papers on foresight as a practice and emerging profession.
- [Workshops](https://jaygary.com/category/workshops/) - Here are workshops, webinars or courses I have taught on strategic foresight.
- [About](https://jaygary.com/category/about/) - Welcome to this Blog. I created this so my friends could keep current with my latest papers, features, workshops, and projects.
- [Features](https://jaygary.com/category/features/) - Catch my magazine features on the future, beyond doomsday thinking and religious terrorism.
- [Blog](https://jaygary.com/category/blog/) - Leadership columns on the future of society, culture and religion and the role of foresight.
- [Millennium](https://jaygary.com/category/millenium/) - From 1994 to 2000, I helped communities enter the Third Millennium with passion and purpose.

## Tags

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- [athletic directors](https://jaygary.com/tag/athletic-directors/)
- [What would Jesus do](https://jaygary.com/tag/what-would-jesus-do/)
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- [visionary leadership](https://jaygary.com/tag/visionary-leadership/)
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- [Snyder](https://jaygary.com/tag/snyder/)
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