Future Shock or Adaptive Change?

Forty years ago, America was gripped by Future Shock, so claimed Alvin Toffler. Are we seeing the eclipse of Future Shock as a younger, more adaptable workforce comes into its own?  Continue reading

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Outlook for 2020: A Delphi

Abstract: In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.”

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Toward a New Macrohistory

This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar’s concept as a macrohistory, Holling’s adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.

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What is Your Foresight Style?

Psychologists have told us that humans are distinct in their ability to think forward. To what degree is foresight an innate human function of our brain power, or thinking preferences?  Continue reading

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Welcome to JayGary.com

Thank you for visiting JayGary.com. I created this site to help you reframe your future based on my latest papers, workshops, consulting, and features.

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Strategic leadership competencies

How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges? Continue reading

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The Future According to Jesus

How did Jesus approach his future? How did the changes of his day impact his horizon? What can we learn from his context that will help us create a more sustainable future? Continue reading

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Terra Nova: The Religious Quest for Tomorrow

It was on July 17th, 1997, an unusually hot summer night in San Francisco. I walked down the hill to the Embarcadero district. There I entered the Hyatt Regency to address a session of the World Future Society. Continue reading

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Leading from the Future

What has occupied your executive team’s attention the past three years? Chances are you have been restructuring departments or reengineering core programs for immediate gain, rather than regenerating your strategies or reinventing your organization for the future.
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PeakFutures marks its 10th year

Based on more than a decade of management consulting, in 2003 I formed PeakFutures as a firm to offer foresight training, research and assessments for teams and organizations. Continue reading

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