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Future Shock or Adaptive Change?

Forty years ago, America was gripped by Future Shock, so claimed Alvin Toffler. Are we seeing the eclipse of Future Shock as a younger, more adaptable workforce comes into its own?  Continue reading →

This entry was posted in Blog and tagged adaptive change, workforce on April 16, 2013 by admin.

Outlook for 2020: A Delphi

Abstract: In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.”

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This entry was posted in Papers and tagged delphi, empirical survey, foresight, Jay Gary, Pentecostal leaders on October 1, 2012 by admin.

Toward a New Macrohistory

This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar’s concept as a macrohistory, Holling’s adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.

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This entry was posted in Papers and tagged future, macrohistory, scenarios on March 1, 2011 by admin.

What is Your Foresight Style?

Psychologists have told us that humans are distinct in their ability to think forward. To what degree is foresight an innate human function of our brain power, or thinking preferences?  Continue reading →

This entry was posted in Papers and tagged Cognitive Styles, Diffusion Innovation, Factor Analysis, foresight, Leadership, Temporal Perspective on January 6, 2010 by admin.

Welcome to JayGary.com

Thank you for visiting JayGary.com. I created this site to help you reframe your future based on my latest papers, workshops, consulting, and features.

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This entry was posted in About and tagged author, futurist, Jay Gary, professor, reframe on June 6, 2013 by admin.

Strategic leadership competencies

How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges? Continue reading →

This entry was posted in Papers and tagged Leadership, strategic foresight on June 1, 2011 by admin.

The Future According to Jesus

How did Jesus approach his future? How did the changes of his day impact his horizon? What can we learn from his context that will help us create a more sustainable future? Continue reading →

This entry was posted in Papers and tagged eschatology, foresight, Galilean model, Jay Gary, Jesus, Roman-Jewish War, Second Temple Judaism on June 13, 2008 by admin.

Terra Nova: The Religious Quest for Tomorrow

It was on July 17th, 1997, an unusually hot summer night in San Francisco. I walked down the hill to the Embarcadero district. There I entered the Hyatt Regency to address a session of the World Future Society. Continue reading →

This entry was posted in Blog and tagged imagination, religion, spirituality on June 17, 2014 by admin.

Leading from the Future

What has occupied your executive team’s attention the past three years? Chances are you have been restructuring departments or reengineering core programs for immediate gain, rather than regenerating your strategies or reinventing your organization for the future.
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This entry was posted in Blog and tagged future, non-profits, strategic foresight on June 22, 2004 by admin.

PeakFutures marks its 10th year

Based on more than a decade of management consulting, in 2003 I formed PeakFutures as a firm to offer foresight training, research and assessments for teams and organizations. Continue reading →

This entry was posted in About and tagged assessments, consulting, Jay Gary, peakfutures, see further, training on January 13, 2012 by admin.

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