It was on July 17th, 1997, an unusually hot summer night in San Francisco. I walked down the hill to the Embarcadero district. There I entered the Hyatt Regency to address a session of the World Future Society. Continue reading
Author Archives: admin
The Year 2000 FAQ
I wrote the Year 2000 FAQ back in 1995 to brief cities, communities and alliances on how the public was planning to mark the arrival of the Millennium. It is organized in four sections: Continue reading
Welcome to JayGary.com
Thank you for visiting JayGary.com. I created this site to help you reframe your future based on my latest papers, workshops, consulting, and features.
Future Shock or Adaptive Change?
Forty years ago, America was gripped by Future Shock, so claimed Alvin Toffler. Are we seeing the eclipse of Future Shock as a younger, more adaptable workforce comes into its own? Continue reading
Outlook for 2020: A Delphi
Abstract: In the fall of 2011 I conducted a Real-time Delphi survey with members of Empowered21, entitled: “Outlook 2020: The future of Spirit-empowered Christianity.”
Ten Big Questions for 2100
Dr. Michael Marien suggests society should weigh 10 big questions about the 22nd Century and use them to make changes to public policy today. Continue reading
PeakFutures marks its 10th year
Based on more than a decade of management consulting, in 2003 I formed PeakFutures as a firm to offer foresight training, research and assessments for teams and organizations. Continue reading
Foresight journal
From 2009 to 2011 I served as the regional editor of Foresight, the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy. Continue reading
Strategic leadership competencies
How do we know whether a manager’s experiences and skills are sufficient to operate at a strategic level in an organization? What insight does recent research on strategic leadership shed on these challenges? Continue reading
Toward a New Macrohistory
This paper views Sardar’s postnormal times as embryonic, and extends it using ecosystems theory. To develop Sardar’s concept as a macrohistory, Holling’s adaptive cycle and panarchical systems are proposed as mechanisms of change that create postnormal times.